2Q Credit Card Quarterly Statistics
U.S. Analysis and Supporting Quotes
"The last five quarters of consecutive decreases in credit card balances show that consumers continue to pay down their credit cards in response to economic uncertainty and high unemployment. Many consumers view available credit as a liquidity reserve that can be drawn upon in the event of a personal hardship. We also see the impact of this pay-down effort on the later-stage delinquency side of the equation. Both the 90-day and 120-day nonpayment rates showed the largest decreases on a quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year basis since the recession began at the end of 2007."
Ezra Becker, director of consulting and strategy in TransUnion's financial services business unit.
"It appears that consumers have come to realize that material improvement in unemployment is unlikely in the short-term, and now is the time to balance saving versus spending. It remains to be seen whether this dynamic will be short term or a new paradigm for consumer behavior."
Ezra Becker, director of consulting and strategy in TransUnion's financial services business unit.
Forecast
"Since the beginning of the recession, TransUnion's national and state forecasting models have tracked how credit card delinquency rates are impacted by economic factors such as median household income, consumer confidence and the U.S. savings rate. These econometric models are continuing to hold up well, as they accurately predicted the substantial drop in the 90-day credit card delinquency rate within a two percent margin of error. Based on our current economic assumptions, TransUnion believes that the 90-day credit card delinquency rate, apart from seasonal ups and downs, will continue to decrease in 2010, staying below 1.0 percent throughout the remainder of this year."
Ezra Becker, director of consulting and strategy in TransUnion's financial services business unit.
Supporting Resources/Links
TransUnion Trend Data Interactive U.S. Map
TransUnion 2Q Mortgage Statistics
TransUnion Payment Hierarchy Study
TransUnion Value of Loyalty/Delinquency Study
TransUnion on Twitter
TransUnion's Trend Data database
The report is part of an ongoing series of quarterly consumer lending sector analyses focusing on credit card, auto loan and mortgage data available on TransUnion's Web site. Information for this analysis is culled from TransUnion's Trend Data and the anonymous credit files of approximately 10 percent of credit-active U.S. consumers, providing a real-life perspective on how they are managing their credit health.
TransUnion's Trend Data, a one-of-a-kind database consisting of 27 million anonymous consumer records randomly sampled every quarter from TransUnion's national consumer credit database. Each record contains more than 200 credit variables that illustrate consumer credit usage and performance. Since 1992, TransUnion has been aggregating this information at the county, Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), state and national levels. For the purpose of this analysis, the term "credit card" refers to those issued by banks.
About TransUnion
As a global leader in credit and information management, TransUnion creates advantages for millions of people around the world by gathering, analyzing and delivering information. For businesses, TransUnion helps improve efficiency, manage risk, reduce costs and increase revenue by delivering comprehensive data and advanced analytics and decisioning. For consumers, TransUnion provides the tools, resources and education to help manage their credit health and achieve their financial goals. Through these and other efforts, TransUnion is working to build stronger economies worldwide. Founded in 1968 and headquartered in Chicago, TransUnion employs associates in more than 25 countries on five continents. www.transunion.com/business
Graphics and/or photographs to accompany this release can be obtained by members of the media by contacting Cliff O'Neal at 312-985-2540 or coneal@transunion.com or Dave Blumberg at 312-985-3059 or dblumbe@transunion.com.
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Contact Dave Blumberg TransUnion E-mail dblumbe@transunion.com Telephone 312 985 3059 Contact Clifton M. O'Neal TransUnion E-mail coneal@transunion.com Telephone 312 985 2540 | |||